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5 - FNB - Finance and Banking

FNB 240 - Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting

Code	Start Date	Duration	Venue
FNB 240	04 November 2024	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	02 December 2024	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	20 January 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	17 February 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	17 March 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	14 April 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	12 May 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	30 June 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	07 July 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	04 August 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	01 September 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	27 October 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	24 November 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link
FNB 240	22 December 2025	5 Days	Istanbul	Registration Form Link

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Course Description

This course provides rigorous training on the use of simple Dynamic New Keynesian (DNK) models to conduct monetary analysis and forecasting; it emphasizes analysis of monetary policy responses to macroeconomic imbalances and shocks. Participants are provided with the tools necessary to develop or extend the model to fit their own monetary policy framework.

Course Objectives

Understanding the fundamentals of Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS)
Acquiring and applying tools used in modern central banks to conduct monetary policy analysis
Conducting nowcasting and near-term forecasting
Using the model to develop consistent medium-term quarterly projections
Identifying risks in the baseline forecast

Who Should Attend?

Staff doing macroeconomic analysis
Mid-level to senior officials responsible for monetary policy decision making

Course Details/Schedule

Day 1

Monetary Policy Frameworks and Transmission Channels
Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS)
Consistency of Policy Objectives and Macro
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Interpreting economic trends

Day 2

New Keynesian Model for Policy Analysis
Output Gap Equation
Phillips Curve
Exchange Rate
Monetary Policy Rule

Day 3

Solving the Model
Estimating Long-Run Trends and Gaps
Tuning the multivariate filter
Model filtration and recalibration
Methods in Model Parameterization
Assessment of Model Properties

Day 4

Nowcasting in the FPAS context
State Space Models,
Dynamic Factor Models (DFM)
Near-Term Forecasting
Vector Auto Regressions (VARs)
Forecasting using VARs

Day 5

Extending the Core Model: Fiscal Policy
Fiscal rules and fiscal accounting
Long term trends and crowding out Simulations
Risk Analysis under Uncertainty

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SAHARA Group Training and Consultancy INC (in Turkish: SAHARA Group Eğitim ve Danışmanlık AŞ)

Tax Office: Beyoğlu (Istanbul/Turkiye,Tax No: 7390525151 (Vergi Dairesi: Beyoğlu (İstanbul), Vergi No: 7390525151)

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(Click Category to List Courses)

5 - FNB - Finance and Banking

FNB 240 - Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting

Course Description

Course Objectives

Who Should Attend?

Course Details/Schedule

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